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A2040-986 - Assessment: Creating Notes & Domino 8.5 Applications with Xpages & Advanced - BrainDump Information

Vendor Name : IBM
Exam Code : A2040-986
Exam Name : Assessment: Creating Notes & Domino 8.5 Applications with Xpages & Advanced
Questions and Answers : 164 Q & A
Updated On : January 18, 2019
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A2040-986 exam Dumps Source : Assessment: Creating Notes & Domino 8.5 Applications with Xpages & Advanced

Test Code : A2040-986
Test Name : Assessment: Creating Notes & Domino 8.5 Applications with Xpages & Advanced
Vendor Name : IBM
Q&A : 164 Real Questions

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IBM IBM Assessment: Creating Notes

IBM Named a pacesetter in latest IDC worldwide MarketScape | killexams.com Real Questions and Pass4sure dumps

IBM Named a leader in newest IDC worldwide MarketScape September 20, 2017  |  by using John Wheeler A person holding a small globe.

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Many CISOs tell us one in all their most elaborate challenges is making a choice on, hiring and keeping proper security talent with the expertise, adventure and passion to offer protection to their agencies’ constructive company against the dynamic cyberthreat panorama. It’s for that reason CISOs often turn to managed safety functions suppliers as a technique to companion and complement potential, which builds an improved security application able to working 24/7/365 with high resilience.

At IBM security, our world Managed protection services has been partnering with customers for greater than twenty years to carry world-classification protection coverage in over 133 countries all over. And, our latest fulfillment is one we're proud and delighted to share, being that we had been identified as a leader within the “IDC MarketScape: worldwide Managed protection features 2017 supplier assessment” (doc # US41320917, August 2017). The document notes that IBM is one among a number of examine individuals whose MSS start may also be regarded in fact world, partly because of its capacity to integrate MSS and safety capabilities international.

read the IDC MarketScape: global Managed security functions 2017 supplier evaluation

starting to be international Threats Demand Managed safety services Transformation

With the evolution of the MSS market and advanced safety services required to help client agencies take care of shift and the frequency of cyberthreats, no single strategy or provider will suffice. although IBM has been offering managed protection features for greater than 20 years, we've invariably modified to serve our customers’ needs, give a boost to our security intelligence and innovation, and create an ecosystem geared toward collaborating and sharing with different safety intelligence companies and valued clientele everywhere.

contemporary months have confirmed groups want vigilant, round-the-clock managed safety, refined intelligence operations and international response teams able to contend with cyberthreats. each the WannaCry and Petya/NotPetya assaults have been particularly challenging for many groups world wide.

As stated within the report, IBM has dedicated to the advancement of our managed safety capabilities choices with expanded investments in individuals, who are supported via cognitive improvements equivalent to Watson for Cyber protection, and a worldwide network of safety operations centers (SOCs). This, in conjunction with our X-drive Incident Response and Intelligence capabilities (IRIS) crew, supplies faster, more concise assistance to clients to make decisions and take evasive action when indispensable.

MSS Helps address changing Jurisdictional requirements

With a considerable number of statistics insurance plan rules and subsequent customer wants, a different key talents that our world community of X-force Command centers offers is the localization and administration of information inside a specific jurisdiction, but preserving the fluidity of seeing and responding to global security hobbies as they turn up.

We recently unveiled our European X-force Command middle in Wroclaw, Poland, which is designed to help our shoppers whose corporations fall within a number of jurisdictional obligations, however still require the oversight and intelligence of a full world community monitoring cyber incidents and activities.

We’re All during this together: world Threats Require a world Response

earning exact spot in an business analyst file is no small accomplishment, and this is testament to our complicated work and the attention of the IBM imaginative and prescient over several years. world managed protection services, along with innovation and subsequent incident and intelligence capabilities, has develop into a essential necessity for several industries that would not have the time, the expertise or the people to manipulate the deluge of threats and assaults.

At IBM safety, we are lucky to have groups of like-minded americans worldwide who wake up day to day able to collaborate with their colleagues in remote places to help serve our clients. however extra importantly, we're grateful to our many shoppers around the globe, and thru their loyalty and belief in IBM security, this outstanding accolade turned into made feasible.

For greater tips, read the finished IDC assessment.

examine the IDC MarketScape: global Managed protection services 2017 seller assessment

Tags: IBM Managed protection features (MSS) | IDC | Managed security services (MSS) | Managed safety capabilities issuer (MSSP) | security options John Wheeler

vp, functions approach, choices, Engineering and company Operations, IBM safety

John Wheeler has more than two decades in the IT application and capabilities trade and 17 years of specialization in... 9 Posts comply with on What’s new
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    IBM acquires red Hat | killexams.com Real Questions and Pass4sure dumps

    constructing Story

    IBM has bought open supply, cloud software enterprise red Hat for $34 billion in money and debt.  The deal sees IBM making a bet massive on the cloud, chiefly cloud services, that blend on-premises and cloud-based architectures. red Hat should be a distinct unit within IBM’s Hybrid Cloud team, and it'll proceed to center of attention on open-source utility. The acquisition is anticipated to shut in the latter half of 2019.

    Assessing IBM’s $34 billion crimson Hat acquisition

    As you look on the $34 billion IBM-purple Hat deal announced the day prior to this, in case you observe the commercial enterprise carefully, it appears like a very good circulate, at the least on its face. It may be years earlier than we keep in mind the true cost of it for IBM (or lack thereof, depending on how it sooner or later goes). The questions stands then, is that this a savvy move, a determined one or perhaps a little bit of each. It turns out, it depends on whom you ask.

    For starters, there is the sheer amount of cash worried, a 63 % premium on Friday’s closing price of just beneath $117 a share. IBM spent $a hundred ninety a share, however as Ray Wang, founder and chief analyst at Constellation analysis observed, purple Hat didn’t always wish to be offered, so IBM needed to overpay to get their business.

    Wang sees cloud, Linux and safety as the massive drivers on IBM’s half. “IBM is doubling down on the cloud, but they are also going for a seize in Linux for their biggest and most vital open source communities and a few of the newer tech on red Hat safety,” he told TechCrunch. He acknowledges that it’s a big premium for the inventory, however he believes IBM needs the M&A action to power down client acquisition fees and pressure up go sell.

    photo: Ron Miller

    IBM is inserting a huge bet right here says Dharmesh Thakker, commonplace accomplice at Battery Ventures, believing it to be worth 30x its present revenue in the subsequent 365 days. “of course, the hybrid cloud possibility that we now have been engaged on the remaining few years, is true and IBM/Cisco/HP/Dell all want a bit of this action going forward as the $300B in datacenter spend gets dislocated by using public and hybrid cloud companies,” Thakker explained in an announcement.

    He believes this deal could definitely set off a new set of mega mergers between the natural tech companies and cloud native, container and DevOps businesses over the following couple of months.

    IBM CEO Ginni Rometty turned into positively giddy on the possibilities of a combined IBM-pink Hat in a call with analysts and press this morning, stating that most effective 20 p.c of commercial enterprise workloads were moved to the cloud. She sees a huge probability, one she tasks to be value $1 trillion with the aid of 2020. holding in intellect be sure to take market projections with a grain of salt, this is most likely a big market and one that Oracle and Microsoft have also targeted.

    She referred to that purple Hat became a infrequent enterprise indeed. “purple Hat on its own has been a excessive value enterprise and has completed a great job with amazing increase, is particularly profitable and generates money. There aren't many groups out there that look like that during this area,” Rometty mentioned.

    Slide: IBM

    Dan Scholnick, generic associate at Trinity Ventures, whose investments have included New Relic and Docker, was not terribly impressed with the deal, believing it smacked of desperation on IBM’s half.

    “IBM is a declining business that somehow should develop into central in the cloud period. crimson Hat is not the answer. purple Hat’s enterprise facilities around an working device, which is a layer of the know-how stack that has been completely commoditized via cloud. (in case you use AWS, you can get Amazon’s OS for free of charge, so why would you pay crimson Hat?) crimson Hat has NO story for cloud,” he claimed in an announcement.

    That may no longer be a completely reasonable evaluation. while purple Hat business Linux is a huge a part of the enterprise’s salary, it’s no longer the handiest piece. Over the remaining couple of years it has moved into Kubernetes and containerization and has grown the cloud native facet of the enterprise alongside RHEL.

    in fact, Forrester analyst Dave Bartoletti sees the cloud native piece as being key here. “The combined enterprise has a leading Kubernetes and container-based cloud-native construction platform, and a a whole lot broader open supply middleware and developer tools portfolio than either business one after the other. whereas any acquisition of this dimension will take time to play out, the combined company will make sure to reshape the open source and cloud platforms marketplace for years to come,” he pointed out.

    photograph: IBM

    Wang believes the deal could hinge on how lengthy crimson Hat CEO Jim Whitehurst, who had led the business for over a decade, stays with the unit. in line with IBM, they will preserve the crimson Hat company and operate it as an unbiased entity inside huge Blue. “If Whitehurst doesn’t stick around for awhile, the deal could go south,” he talked about. but the business may dangle the CEO job when Rometty decides to depart as incentive to dwell.

    Regardless, Wall street changed into now not completely happy with IBM’s circulate with their stock down all day. needless to say the 63 p.c premium IBM paid for the inventory has driven pink Hat bigger these days.

    The deal ought to flow shareholder muster, however given the premium IBM has provided, it’s hard to accept as true with they'd flip it down. furthermore, considering these organizations function the world over, they are subject to the world regulatory approval process. They received’t formally come collectively except at the least the second half of subsequent year on the soonest. That’s when we may begin to be taught whether this become a superb or determined stream via IBM.

    IBM is making a bet the farm on crimson Hat, and it more suitable now not mess up

    Who expects a $34 billion deal involving two business powerhouses to drop on a Sunday afternoon, but IBM and red Hat surprised us the day past when they pulled the trigger on a traditionally large deal.

    IBM has been a poster baby for a corporation moving via a painful transformation. As container CEO (and IBM enterprise companion) Aaron Levie put it on Twitter, now and again a corporation has to make a bold movement to push that sort of initiative forward:

    They accept as true with they could take their complex mix of infrastructure/software/platform services and emerging applied sciences like artificial intelligence, blockchain and analytics, and mix all of that with purple Hat’s ecocnomic fusion of business open source equipment, cloud native, hybrid cloud and a eager knowing of the commercial enterprise.

    As Jon Shieber brought up the day before today, it become a tacit acknowledgement that enterprise turned into no longer going to get the outcomes it became hoping for with emerging applied sciences like Watson artificial intelligence. It essential anything that translated extra at once into income.

    crimson Hat can be that enterprise revenue engine. It already is a company on a $three billion income run price, and it has a purpose of hitting $5 billion. whereas that’s a little small potatoes for a corporation like IBM that generates $19 billion a quarter, it represents an important addition.

    That’s as a result of in spite of its iffy revenue experiences over the ultimate 5 years, Synergy research said that IBM had 7 % of the cloud infrastructure market in its most recent report, which it defines as Infrastructure as a provider, Platform as a service and hosted inner most cloud. it is the latter that IBM is certainly decent at.

    The enterprise has the pieces in place now and an honest quantity of marketshare, but crimson Hat gives it a a lot more strong hybrid cloud story to tell. they can potentially bridge that hosted private cloud enterprise with their own public cloud (and presumably even these of their competitors) and use purple Hat as a cloud native and open source springboard, giving their sales teams a great story to inform.

    IBM already has loads of enterprise credibility on its own, of course. It sells on properly of lots of the equal open source tools as pink Hat, nevertheless it hasn’t been getting the income and profits momentum that crimson Hat has enjoyed. in case you combine the significant IBM sales engine and their functions company with that of pink Hat, you've got the expertise to crank this into a big enterprise.

    photo: Ron Mller

    It’s value noting that the deal should flow shareholder muster and clear international regulatory hurdles earlier than they can combine both businesses. IBM has envisioned that it'll take at the least until the 2d half of subsequent 12 months to shut this deal and it may take even longer.

    IBM has to make use of that point wisely and neatly to be sure when they pull the trigger, these two agencies mix as easily as feasible across technology and way of life. It’s on no account easy to make these mega deals work with so lots funds and pressure involved, nonetheless it is integral that large Blue no longer screw this up. This might very neatly represent its ultimate most beneficial chance to right the ship once and for all.

    forget Watson, the crimson Hat acquisition can be the issue that saves IBM

    With its newest $34 billion acquisition of red Hat, IBM might also have discovered anything more basic than “Watson” to retailer its flagging business.

    even though the acquisition of crimson Hat  is by using no capacity a assured victory for the Armonk, N.Y.-based mostly computing company that has had greater downs than u.s.a.over the five years, it appears to be a more robust guess for “huge Blue” than an artificial intelligence software that become at all times more hype than reality.

    certainly, commentators are already noting that this could be a case where IBM at last hangs up the Watson hat and returns to the business software and features business that has at all times been its core competency (albeit one that has been weighted far more closely on consulting functions — to the detriment of the company’s enterprise).

    Watson, the company division focused on synthetic intelligence whose public claims have been at all times greater advertising than truly market-pushed, has not performed in addition to IBM had hoped and traders have been dropping their endurance.

    Critics — together with analysts at the funding bank Jefferies (as early as one year ago) — were skeptical of Watson’s means to deliver IBM from its company woes.

    As we wrote at the time:

    Jefferies pulls from an audit of a partnership between IBM Watson and MD Anderson as a case study for IBM’s broader issues scaling Watson. MD Anderson reduce its ties with IBM after wasting $60 million on a Watson challenge that changed into in the end deemed, “not equipped for human investigational or medical use.”

    The MD Anderson nightmare doesn’t stand on its own. I constantly hear from startup founders in the AI house that their personal monetary capabilities and biotech shoppers have had equivalent experiences working with IBM.

    The narrative isn’t the fabricated from any single malfunction, however quite the outcomes of overhyped advertising, deficiencies in operating with deep discovering and GPUs and intensive statistics education demands.

    That’s now not the only quandary IBM has had with Watson’s healthcare outcomes. prior this yr, the on-line scientific journal Stat reported that Watson became giving clinicians strategies for cancer treatments that had been “risky and mistaken” — based on the practising records it had obtained from the enterprise’s personal engineers and medical doctors at Sloan-Kettering who were working with the know-how.

    All of those woes had been reflected within the company’s newest revenue call the place it reported falling revenues primarily from the Cognitive solutions company, which comprises Watson’s synthetic intelligence and supercomputing functions. even though IBM chief monetary officer pointed to “mid-to-excessive” single digit increase from Watson’s fitness company within the quarter, transaction processing utility company fell through 8% and the company’s suite of hosted utility features is really an afterthought for enterprise gravitating to Microsoft, Alphabet, and Amazon for cloud functions.

    To be certain, Watson is only one of the segments that IBM had been hoping to faucet for its future boom; and while it become a massive funding enviornment for the company, the company always had its eyes partly fastened on the cloud computing ambiance because it looked for areas of increase.

    It’s this enviornment of cloud computing the place IBM hopes that purple Hat can support it profit ground.

    “The acquisition of pink Hat is a online game-changer. It changes everything concerning the cloud market,” spoke of Ginni Rometty, IBM Chairman, President and Chief govt Officer, in a statement asserting the acquisition. “IBM will turn into the realm’s quantity-one hybrid cloud provider, offering groups the best open cloud solution so that you can release the total price of the cloud for his or her groups.”

    The acquisition additionally places a fantastic quantity of advertising vigor behind pink Hat’s quite a lot of open source capabilities company — giving all of those IBM task managers and consultants new projects to pitch and perhaps juicing open supply application adoption slightly more aggressively within the business.

    As pink Hat chief govt Jim Whitehurst advised TheStreet in September, “The massive secular driver of Linux is that large information workloads run on Linux. AI workloads run on Linux. DevOps and those systems, virtually exclusively Linux,” he referred to. “So lots of the internet new workloads which are being constructed have an affinity for Linux.”

    The largest software acquisition ever: IBM to buy pink Hat for $34B

    At a value typically reserved for semiconductor groups, telecoms, and pharmaceutical giants, IBM announced these days it could pay a listing $34 billion in cash and debt to purchase enterprise open supply issuer purple Hat. Eclipsing Microsoft’s $26.2 billion acquisition of LinkedIn, here is the largest application acquisition in historical past. It’s now not the greatest tech acquisition ever, although, as that title belongs to Dell’s $67 billion buyout of records storage company EMC.

    that you would be able to learn about what IBM is purchasing red Hat to develop into a hybrid cloud enterprise in TechCrunch editor Ingrid Lunden’s deep dive here:

    So how does the IBM-crimson Hat deal (if it closes), stack up in opposition t the other biggest acquisitions of all time?

    The red Hat deal is proof that the scalability of software can hugely focus wealth. in contrast to industrial giants of historical that cut up their fortunes with the physical useful resource suppliers that presented and disbursed their oil, chemical, or packaged respectable empires, application requires nearly no fabric charge to create or distribute. The aggregation of price to application giants and their leaders offers each a fine incentive to build an international-altering enterprise, but additionally a drastic shift of capital out of the arms of labor. while it’s excellent to have fun pink Hat’s accomplishment, society must inevitably grapple with the poverty and populism fueled via how utility funnels cash to the few.

    IBM to buy crimson Hat for $34B in cash and debt, taking a much bigger soar into hybrid cloud

    After rumors flew around this weekend, IBM today tested that it might purchase open source, cloud application company red Hat for $a hundred ninety per share in money, working out to a total cost of $34 billion. IBM noted the deal has already been accredited through the boards of directors of each IBM and crimson Hat but remains field to red Hat shareholder and regulatory approvals. If all goes as deliberate, the acquisition is anticipated to close in the latter half of 2019.

    The deal is all about IBM, which has long continued to depend on its legacy server company, taking a much bigger wager on the cloud, and extremely mainly cloud capabilities that blend on-premises and cloud-primarily based architectures — whatever thing that the two companies have already been working on together given that may of this yr (which now can be checked out as a verify pressure). crimson Hat will be a distinct unit inside IBM’s Hybrid Cloud crew — which is already a $19 billion enterprise for IBM, the business referred to — and it will proceed to center of attention on open-supply utility. 

    “The acquisition of crimson Hat is a video game-changer. It alterations every thing about the cloud market,” talked about Ginni Rometty, IBM Chairman, President and Chief govt Officer, in a statement. “IBM will develop into the world’s quantity-one hybrid cloud provider, offering organizations the handiest open cloud solution in an effort to release the full value of the cloud for his or her agencies.”

    The combined organizations might be capable of present application in capabilities spanning Linux, containers, Kubernetes, multi-cloud administration, and cloud administration and automation, IBM talked about. IBM additionally delivered that collectively the groups will continue to build partnerships with distinctive cloud suppliers, together with AWS, Microsoft’s Azure, Google Cloud, Alibaba and others, alongside the IBM Cloud.

    As Josh Constine notes here, it’s probably the most largest-ever tech acquisitions, and arguably the biggest it is dedicated essentially to application. (Dell got EMC for $sixty seven billion, to choose up software but additionally a considerable hardware and storage enterprise.)

    while organizations like Amazon have gone all-in on cloud, in lots of situations, a lot of corporations are making the move step by step — IBM cites stats that estimate that some eighty percent of enterprise workloads “have yet to circulation to the cloud, held lower back via the proprietary nature of these days’s cloud market.” purchasing crimson Hat will aid IBM enhanced tap into an opportunity to handle that.

    “Most businesses nowadays are only 20 percent alongside their cloud adventure, renting compute vigor to reduce costs,” she continued. “The next eighty % is set unlocking true company price and driving increase. here is the next chapter of the cloud. It requires moving enterprise applications to hybrid cloud, extracting extra records and optimizing every a part of the enterprise, from supply chains to earnings.”

    On desirable of that, it will give IBM a lots more desirable footing in open supply utility, the core of what red Hat builds and deploys these days.

    “Open supply is the default alternative for contemporary IT options, and that i’m totally proud of the role purple Hat has played in making that a fact within the enterprise,” pointed out Jim Whitehurst, President and CEO, crimson Hat, in a statement. “joining forces with IBM will provide us with a greater degree of scale, components and capabilities to speed up the have an impact on of open supply because the groundwork for digital transformation and bring pink Hat to an excellent wider viewers –  all whereas protecting our wonderful way of life and unwavering commitment to open supply innovation.”

    whereas IBM competes in opposition t the likes of Amazon, the organizations will see to continue to be companions with them with this acquisition. “IBM is committed to being an genuine multi-cloud provider, and we will prioritize the use of pink Hat know-how across assorted clouds” pointed out Arvind Krishna, Senior vp, IBM Hybrid Cloud, in an announcement. “In doing so, IBM will assist open supply technology at any place it runs, allowing it to scale vastly inside commercial settings world wide.”

    IBM pointed out that red Hat will add to its salary growth, gross margin and free cash flow within one year of closing.




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    Trump Administration Distorts the Facts On Climate Report | killexams.com real questions and Pass4sure dumps

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    Since the National Climate Assessment dropped on Black Friday, members of the Trump administration have inaccurately attacked the report for lacking transparency and factual basis, and for focusing on an “extreme” climate scenario. The EPA has also suggested — without evidence — that the Obama administration “pushed” the “worst-case scenario.”

    a drawing of a face © Provided by FactCheck.org The report — which is the product of 13 federal agencies and more than 300 governmental and non-governmental experts — is legally required to be produced by the U.S. Global Change Research Program, or USGCRP, which issued its first assessment in 2000. It details how climate change is already affecting the country, from increased temperatures and flooding to more frequent hurricanes and large wildfires. It also looks at potential future consequences on the environment, infrastructure, human health and the economy.

    President Donald Trump has largely dismissed the report. When asked about the assessment, the president has minimized the impact of human activity on climate change and made unrelated claims regarding the cleanliness of U.S. air and water, as we’ve written previously.

    But more specific critiques came from administration officials and White House representatives.

    For example, White House Deputy Press Secretary Lindsay Walters released a statement to us that downplayed the report by claiming it “is largely based on the most extreme scenario,” adding, “we need to focus on improving the transparency and accuracy of our modeling and projections.” She also noted that the next climate assessment “gives us the opportunity to provide for a more transparent and data-driven process that includes fuller information on the range of potential scenarios and outcomes.”

    Many of these talking points were reprised by White House Press Secretary Sarah Sanders during a White House briefing on Nov. 27, when she said the report “is based on the most extreme modeled scenario,” is “not based on facts” and is “not data-driven.” Instead, she said, the report is “based on modeling, which is extremely hard to do when you’re talking about the climate.”

    In an interview with the NBC affiliate in Sacramento, California, on Nov. 27, Interior Secretary Ryan Zinke also referenced the scenarios, saying “it appears they took the worst scenarios and they built predictions upon that.” He added, “It should be more probability.”

    Zinke, who has since resigned, also said “there is some concern within the USGS” about the climate report, referring to the U.S. Geological Survey, without providing any evidence.  

    Finally, acting Environmental Protection Agency head Andrew Wheeler said at a Washington Post Live event on Nov. 28 that he “wouldn’t be surprised if the Obama administration told the report’s authors, ‘Take a look at the worst-case scenario for this report.’” The EPA press office then doubled down on Wheeler’s speculation, issuing a press release that said the Obama administration “pushed” the “worst-case scenario'” and citing the Daily Caller’s reporting as proof of such manipulation. 

    These claims, however, are false, exaggerated or unsubstantiated:

  • The climate assessment, or NCA4, uses a range of scenarios, not just a “worst” or “most extreme” scenario. The majority of the report uses two main scenarios, RCP8.5 as a “higher” scenario with more warming, and RCP4.5 as a “lower” scenario with less warming. Portions of the report also include a third lower scenario, known as RCP2.6. Much of the report also documents climate change effects that have already occurred.
  • The report is a fact-based document. It draws on hundreds of peer-reviewed papers in the scientific literature, and also includes other observational and modeling data, all of which meet the standards of the Information Quality Act. 
  • The assessment is transparent. Each chapter after the introductory overview chapter includes a “traceable accounts” section that documents the source material for each “key message.” In addition, the report underwent multiple reviews by both internal and external experts, and was opened for public review for three months.
  • There is no evidence that the Obama administration “pushed” the “worst-case scenario.” The EPA cites a conservative website, whose only evidence is a publicly available memo that describes the group’s rationale for using the scenarios that it did.
  • Because the claims clustered around these four themes, we’ll address each of them in more detail in the sections below.

    As for Zinke’s comment that there is “concern within the USGS” about the climate report, there is no evidence to support his statement.

    U.S. Geological Survey representatives did not respond to our inquiries, but the USGS is one of the key agencies that was responsible for creating the report. In fact, nearly two dozen USGS scientists served as authors, contributing to 10 of the 29 chapters. And Virginia Burkett, USGS chief scientist for climate and land use change, is part of the leadership of the U.S. Global Change Research Program.

    What the Climate Assessment Says

    The report is organized into four main sections, the first tackling “national topics” such as water, agriculture, air quality and coastal effects. For each issue, the authors describe existing climate change impacts as well as those that could be on the horizon. For example, on temperature, the authors explain that annual average temperatures in the contiguous U.S. have increased by 1.8 degrees Fahrenheit since the beginning of the last century. Over the next few decades, temperatures are expected to rise to an increase of 2.5 degrees, regardless of future emissions. And by the end of the century, the increase could be anywhere between 3 and 12 degrees, “depending on whether the world follows a higher or lower future scenario.”

    The next section takes a closer look at 10 specific regions of the country, each of which faces different challenges because of variation in geography, climate and population. For example, the Northeast is already seeing less distinct seasons that “adversely impact” tourism, farming and forestry, while the Southeast is already vulnerable to flooding and the Southwest has seen more intense wildfires and droughts.

    A third section discusses mitigation strategies — approaches that reduce greenhouse gas emissions, and therefore limit the amount of climate change — and adaptation strategies, which refer to methods of reducing the risk of climate change, for example, by elevating homes threatened by flooding. The mitigation chapter, in particular, has been frequently cited in the press, because it goes into the possible economic impacts of climate change, which the report says could amount to “hundreds of billions of dollars” by 2100 under a higher emissions scenario.

    Finally, a fourth section is devoted to a series of appendices, including explanations of how the report was put together and what kind of information was used. We’ll be coming back to these, because they contain a lot of the nitty-gritty details that demonstrate the report’s transparency and data-driven approach.

    Based on a ‘Worst-Case’ Scenario?

    Wheeler, Zinke, Sanders and Walters each criticized the National Climate Assessment for using or being “based” or “largely based” on a scenario they variously described as “worst-case” or “the most extreme.” They’re referring to a scenario known as RCP8.5, which is the highest of the four scenarios most frequently used by scientists to do climate projections.

    But a quick skim of the National Climate Assessment reveals that the document does not rely on this single scenario. Figures often feature at least two scenarios, and sometimes include a third.

    “Not every statement has every RCP scenario in it,” said Katharine Hayhoe, a climate scientist and director of the Climate Science Center at Texas Tech University, and an author of the report, in a phone interview. But, she said, there are “dozens of examples” where multiple RCPs are used.

    Indeed, the report itself says it focused on RCP8.5 as a “higher” scenario with more warming, and RCP4.5 as a “lower” scenario with less, while also including other scenarios, such as the “very low” RCP2.6. We’ll return to the specifics on this decision later. RCPs were used in the fifth and most recent climate assessment from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, or IPCC, which is part of the United Nations.

    And of course, none of the scenarios are relevant to the many statements in the report about the climate change effects that have already happened, such as the fact that the U.S. has already become warmer by about 1.8 degrees Fahrenheit over the last century, or that, because of sea level rise, multiple communities are now five to 10 times more likely to have high tide flooding than in the 1960s.

    Understanding RCPs

    It’s worth pausing here to understand what RCPs are in the first place, because they can be easily misinterpreted.

    RCP stands for “representative concentration pathway,” and each numbered scenario refers to the total amount of radiative forcing — essentially the amount of climate change — that would occur by the year 2100, relative to pre-industrial times. RCP8.5, then, is a pathway that assumes that by the turn of the next century, the Earth will have added an extra 8.5 watts per square meter to its energy balance.

    By focusing on radiative forcing, the RCP system avoids making specific assumptions about emissions, population growth, or economic and technological development.

    “For any one radiative forcing trajectory, there are theoretically an infinite number of socioeconomic and emission scenarios to get you there,” said Richard Moss, a visiting senior research scientist at Columbia University’s Earth Institute, in a phone interview. He helped formulate the RCP approach.

    But there are certain trajectories that are consistent with the various RCPs, and these are often used to describe them. For example, RCP8.5 is consistent with a future in which fossil fuels continue to dominate, there is no climate policy to speak of, and there is high population growth and low — but not zero — technological development. RCP4.5, in contrast, does include climate policies, such as a price put on emissions, and there is less population growth and more technological development. In RCP2.6, more stringent mitigation policies are in place and emissions peak and turn negative by the beginning of the next century.

    The RCP system may be less straightforward than a basic emissions scenario, but Moss said scientists developed RCPs because it allowed them to be more flexible and do climate modeling more quickly than before.

    In 2007, an independent group of climate scientists selected four RCPs that represented the wide range in the scientific literature and were well-spaced apart: 2.6, 4.5, 6.0 and 8.5.

    RCPs Aren’t Forecasts

    A larger issue with RCPs is that they aren’t intended to be forecasts of what will happen, even though that’s exactly what the public often interprets them to be.

    “They’re not predictions, they’re what-if exercises,” said Moss. Many people assume scientists are offering forecasts on the most likely scenario, he said, but the “point is specifically not to say what is most likely.”

    Scientists, then, want to use a range of scenarios that give a solid idea of where we might be headed, while at the same time, not overselling any particular one.

    The other angle is that scientists use scenarios for risk assessment. And as Moss explained, “you don’t choose a middle scenario” for that. You choose a high scenario to describe the potentially bad outcomes that “may have low probability but high consequence.”

    RCP8.5 Isn’t the ‘Worst’

    As for RCP8.5 itself, Moss and Hayhoe both said it’s inaccurate to call the scenario the “worst” or a “worse-case.” Hayhoe said it was a very deliberate choice on the authors’ parts to call RCP8.5 the “higher” scenario, to contrast with the RCP4.5 “lower” scenario. In the report, these are often used together.

    In chapter four of the earlier volume of the climate report, the authors note that RCP8.5 “is not intended to serve as an upper limit on possible emissions” (see section 4.2.1). 

    Moss and Hayhoe also said climate modeling might be missing certain elements that could make RCP8.5’s projections too low.

    Finally, there is the fact that, of late, the Earth seems to be following RCP8.5. The climate report explains that the “observed acceleration in carbon emissions over the past 15–20 years has been consistent with the higher future scenarios (such as RCP8.5).” It goes on to say that while emission rates began to slow in 2014, and even approach zero growth in 2016, preliminary data in 2017 suggest a return to an increasing rate of emissions. Separately, reports released in early December indicate 2018 is also headed toward a higher emission rate. This doesn’t mean 80 years down the line the Earth is likely to still be following RCP8.5, but it is plausible.

    Obama Administration ‘Pushed ‘Worst-Case Scenario’?

    Andrew Wheeler, the acting EPA chief, suggested on Nov. 28 that the Obama administration told the climate assessment authors to use the highest scenarios. In a Washington Post Live interview, Wheeler said he “wouldn’t be surprised if the Obama administration” directed authors to the “worst-case scenario.”

    Later that day, the EPA press office wrote in a press release that Wheeler “was right” when he made that statement, adding, “In fact, the Obama administration did just that.” The press release was titled “Fact-Check: Obama Administration Pushed ‘Worst-Case Scenario’ In Climate Assessment.”

    It’s true that the scenarios were selected at a time when Obama was in office, but that is not evidence that the administration pushed for a higher scenario. As we’ve just explained, RCP8.5 was in standard use at the time.

    In the press release, the EPA pointed to reporting by the Daily Caller, a conservative website, which wrote that a May 2015 memo proved Wheeler’s the point. The website also wrote that the memo contradicted John Holdren, Obama’s director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy, or OSTP, who told Politico that he did not choose the authors of the report and was not involved in scenario selection.

    In an email to us, Holdren also denied playing a role in the report’s approach. “The insinuations out there that I or some other senior official was behind it [scenario selection] are absolutely false,” he said.

    The memo, which is unsigned, does not show that the Obama administration pushed for certain scenarios. The memo lays out the rationale for using a range of scenarios, and for focusing on the RCP8.5 and 4.5 for impact assessments. “For assessments of impacts, vulnerability, and adaptation responses,” the memo states, “NCA4 will focus on RCP 8.5 as a high-end scenario and RCP 4.5 as a low-end scenario. Other scenarios (e.g., RCP 2.6) may be used in addition where instructive, such as in analyses of mitigation issues,” adding that “using a low-end and a high-end scenario will facilitate communications of assessment findings.”

    The memo goes on to explain that the choice of these two main RCPs was made in part to “maintain continuity and consistency” not only with other major climate assessments, such as the IPCC reports, but also to previous National Climate Assessments. Two earlier editions of the assessment, for example, used an older set of scenarios that are roughly equivalent to RCP4.5 and RCP8.5. (The memo doesn’t mention this, but this includes the second climate assessment published in 2009, which would have largely been developed during the Bush administration.)

    Many of these points are also made in the climate assessment itself, such as in the report guide and in the third appendix. The report also cites the memo — something you would not expect if it contained proof of political meddling.

    The choice of using RCP8.5 and 4.5 is not limited to various climate assessments. A literature search with both terms, for instance, reveals dozens of papers that are premised on the very same comparisons. Moss, for his part, said the decision to focus on RCP4.5 and 8.5, was “very reasonable.”

    A Lack of Transparency?

    In a statement to us, White House Deputy Press Secretary Lindsay Walters said that “we need to focus on improving the transparency and accuracy of our modeling and projections” and that the next climate assessment “gives us the opportunity to provide for a more transparent and data-driven process.”

    The climate report, however, is by design a transparent document. The creation process included repeated opportunities not only for scientists in and out of the government to make changes, but also for the public to comment.

    Each draft and outline was subject either to an interagency review, technical review by a National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration-funded group at North Carolina University or an outside review.

    The third draft, for example, was released to the public for three months, during which time the National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine also reviewed it. Chapter authors were then “required to respond to each and every comment” and to update their sections accordingly. Review editors made sure the responses were adequate. All of the feedback, along with the responses, is available online.

    With transparency in mind, scientists also included “traceable accounts” at the end of chapters to document the evidence base and uncertainties for each “key message.” These provide explanations of why authors came to the conclusions that they did, as well as a description of the confidence or likelihood for that message.

    “The traceable accounts go into excruciating detail,” said Hayhoe. “It’s hard to imagine anything more transparent.”

    Facts and Climate Modeling

    The final claim we’ll address is the notion that the National Climate Assessment isn’t “based on facts,” or isn’t “data-driven,” as Sanders said.

    This is false. As is clear from the extensive reference lists for each chapter, the report is fact-based. The report describes its many sources this way.

    NCA4, November 2018: The findings in this report are based on an assessment of the peer-reviewed scientific literature, complemented by other sources (such as gray literature) where appropriate. In addition, authors used well-established and carefully evaluated observational and modeling datasets, technical input reports, USGCRP’s sustained assessment products, and a suite of scenario products. Each source was determined to meet the standards of the Information Quality Act.

    In the second appendix, the report goes into even more detail about its sources, noting that the “vast majority” are from the peer-reviewed scientific literature. In the rare circumstance that information didn’t come from the literature or the government, authors evaluated the quality of the source by asking a few key questions, such as how important the source is to the topic, and whether it is objective and publicly available. NOAA also checked that all sources met its guidelines.

    Sanders claimed that climate modeling is “an extremely complicated science that is never exact.” She repeated the idea again, after saying that the administration would like to see something “more data-driven,” adding, “it’s based on modeling, which is extremely hard to do when you’re talking about the climate.”

    Part of what Sanders is saying is absolutely correct. “She’s right climate modeling is very complex,” said Hayhoe.

    But just because modeling is difficult doesn’t mean it’s not based on data, or that climate models are unreliable. This misrepresents how climate modeling works and what we know about its performance.

    Climate models essentially are sets of equations that incorporate what scientists know about the fundamental physics, chemistry and biology of Earth systems. To make projections about the future, researchers first make the problem more manageable by divvying up the Earth’s atmosphere and surface into smaller chunks, or grid cells. Then they run the models for each cell over a set period of time, allowing neighboring cells to interact with one another. That data is recorded, and then repeated until a researcher reaches a target year. In this iterative fashion, scientists develop maps of varying resolution that show how the climate might change under certain scenarios.

    There are, of course, uncertainties associated with modeling. Scientists are well aware of this and don’t claim to have everything figured out. In fact, they know they’re missing some of the more complex interactions. But Hayhoe said it’s precisely because of this that scientists are “more concerned, not less.”

    “We know that there are processes not included that would make sea level rise faster and greater,” she said. “We’re so conservative — unless we totally understand something, we don’t put it in the model.”

    This point is also made in the climate assessment.

    “While climate models incorporate important climate processes that can be well quantified, they do not include all of the processes that can contribute to feedbacks, compound extreme events, and abrupt and/or irreversible changes, including key ice sheet processes and arctic carbon reservoirs,” the report reads. “The systematic tendency of climate models to underestimate temperature change during warm paleoclimates suggests that climate models are more likely to underestimate than to overestimate the amount of long-term future change; this is likely to be especially true for trends in extreme events.”

    Contrary to Sanders’ insinuation, complexity isn’t a reason to doubt the projections, although no one should view them as certainties. If anything, it’s a reason to think they could be on the low side.

    The post Trump Administration Distorts the Facts On Climate Report appeared first on FactCheck.org.


    BC Assessment encourages property owners to take note of July 1st | killexams.com real questions and Pass4sure dumps

    VICTORIA, June 27, 2018 /CNW/ - July 1st is Canada Day, a time to celebrate, relax and enjoy the start of summer.  And, if you own property in British Columbia, it is a good time to check out what's happening to home prices in your neighbourhood.

    BC Assessment (CNW Group/BC Assessment)

    "July 1st is the date that BC Assessment uses to estimate the annual market value of all properties in B.C.," says Tina Ireland, Regional Assessor for BC Assessment. "If you want a good sense of what your 2019 property assessment will be, then take note of the current home sales in your neighbourhood."

    Is the market sizzling hot for summer or cooling down with a dip in the pool or simply sitting steady with a glass of lemonade? These are questions to consider when pondering what your assessed value may be when you receive your next Property Assessment Notice in January 2019.   

    "Our highly qualified real estate appraisers review the sales of properties similar to your home," adds Ireland. "They consider the same characteristics as a potential purchaser, such as size, age, quality, view and location, when determining your property's assessed value."

    Whether sitting by the lake on your mobile device or staying inside in need of some serious shade, you can check out sales for properties in your neighbourhood at bcassessment.ca. You can search online, compare properties and see current market trends. And, with a new added feature, you can create your own personalized property search page to conveniently track your favourite searches.

    "One of the most common questions we get is: 'Why July 1?'", says Ireland. "Using a single common date of July 1st for every property in BC ensures your assessed value for property taxation purposes is fair, equitable and uniform. A single date reflects the same market conditions in all assessed values. It's really that simple."

    Follow BC Assessment on Twitter, Facebook, YouTube and LinkedIn

    SOURCE BC Assessment


    Sensible risk assessment in care settings | killexams.com real questions and Pass4sure dumps

    Please note if you are a provider registered with CQC, and with premises located in England, CQC is the relevant regulatory body for patient safety matters

    People who work in health and social care constitute a large and diverse workforce looking after a predominantly vulnerable population. Employees have the right to work in a healthy and safe workplace, and the people using services are entitled to care and support that is safe and takes their needs, freedom and dignity into account.

    Managing these different needs can sometimes present unique and complex situations which can, if not effectively managed, result in serious harm to employees, people using care services and others. The typical hazards include:

    Whilst specific hazards to people using care services may also include:

    The risk assessment process is not about creating huge amounts of paperwork; it is about identifying and taking sensible and proportionate measures to control the risks. You may already be taking steps to control the risks, but the assessment process will help you decide whether you should be doing more. You may need to consider different elements of risk when producing your assessment, including:

  • the common risks to everyone on the premises, for example, risks from legionella, asbestos, electrical equipment and transport
  • the common risks to people using services, for example, from falls from height or scalding. Whilst you may have some individuals who are not at risk you must implement measures to prevent harm to the most vulnerable
  • the individual risks to particular staff, for example expectant mothers and young workers
  • the individual risks to particular people using services, for example the risk of an individual falling out of bed, or needing help to safely mobilise
  • When considering the individual risks for particular people using a service, you must also bear in mind that health and social care is regulated by other organisations who may expect some form of care assessment. Usually the health and safety risks identified for the individual will be recorded as part of this ‘care assessment’ or ‘support plan’.

    Making sensible risk assessment decisions

    The provision of care and support should be tailored to meet the needs of the individual and should encourage them to do what they can for themselves. This is particularly important in the provision of social care but also applies to people receiving longer-term healthcare.

    Often when assessing the care and support needs of an individual, everyday activities are identified that will benefit their lives, but also put them at some level of risk. This requires a balanced decision to be made between the needs, freedom and dignity of the individual and their safety.

    Care assessments should enable people to live fulfilled lives safely, rather than be a mechanism for restricting their reasonable freedoms. Many care providers find it hard not to slip towards a risk adverse approach for a multitude of reasons, for example, resources, bad experiences and a fear of the consequences if things go wrong.

    HSE will support decisions to allow everyday activities to be undertaken provided a suitable and sufficient risk assessment has been carried out, documented and reviewed as necessary. This should identify and implement any sensible precautions to reduce the risk of significant harm to the individual concerned (see examples below).

    Key points to consider when balancing risk include:
  • Concentrating on real risks where there is a realistic risk of harm
  • Close liaison with the individual, carer and family when carrying out risk assessments which is essential to achieve outcomes that matter to them
  • How the risks flowing from an individual’s choice can best be reduced, so far as is reasonably practicable, by putting in place sensible controls
  • When organising group activities, think how the most vulnerable can be protected without unnecessarily restricting the freedoms of the most capable.
  • Examples of sensible and proportionate management of risk

    Individual risks for making a cup of tea

    A young person with learning disabilities is vulnerable to the risk of scalding but will benefit from being able to make their own cup of tea. Assessment identifies that the size, weight and volume of water in a standard kettle puts them at risk of serious harm. A single cup hot water dispenser is a reasonably practicable solution. Owing to the resident’s physical condition and tendency to shake, a cup with a limited opening (spill resistant) is provided.

    Individual risks for walking to the local shop

    A resident who has walked to the local shop on a daily basis to collect their newspaper develops Alzheimer’s. They become confused and start to forget how to get back to their care home. Having considered different possibilities, the shop owner agrees to give a gentle reminder of the route home every time the resident purchases their paper. This, coupled with checks by the home, allows the resident to continue with their daily routine – subject to regular review. Other control measures may be appropriate, dependent on the individual.

    Individual risks for a person with dementia walking away from the care setting

    A person with dementia develops a tendency to walk away from the care setting. They were formerly employed in a job where they walked long distances on a daily basis. Assessment indicates the main risk is from getting lost. The professional team, family and person agree to the use of a tracking and personal alarm system, which will alert the care setting if they become lost.

    Individual risks for helping to cook in a care home

    A person wishes to help in the kitchen at a home. The individual has dementia and is able to carry out certain activities without much support and helping in the kitchen will provide great benefits to the individual and will reduce boredom. An assessment of the kitchen identifies that some of the equipment presents a significant risk. However, it is decided that the individual can undertake a number of tasks under supervision. 

    Individual risks for outdoor activities

    A person with Down’s syndrome wishing to ride horses may be vulnerable to the risk of falling and may not have the capacity to appreciate the potential danger. The benefits and enjoyment gained from carrying out the activity are felt to outweigh the risks. An assessment identifies suitable measures to reduce the risk, including the selection of a reputable leisure provider, use of protective clothing, safe supportive seating, the selection of a suitable horse, and close supervision.

    Further information

    Further information on sensible and proportionate approach to the management of risk and carrying out risk assessments can be found on the HSE website.


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